Sunday, March 11, 2007

ARE IRAQ, AND AFGHANISTAN QUADMIRES FOR AL-QAIDA?

Are Iraq, Afghanistan quagmires for al-Qaida?


At the end of the fourth quarter of any football game, you can look up at the scoreboard and see something that looks like this:

Quarters 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Final

Team

Iowa 0 7 14 10 31

Ohio State 7 10 14 14 45

But imagine a scoreboard that looked like this:


Quarters 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Final

Team

Iowa 0 7 14 10 31

Ohio State ? ? ? ? ????

From the latter scoreboard, you might find it difficult to determine whether Iowa won or lost. And that’s the way it is in Iraq.

The Bush Administration and the American press have given us an "Iraq War Scoreboard" that looks a lot like this:

Casualties by Periods: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Total

American Soldiers Killed 140 718 579 715 1,003 3,155

Terrorists Killed ? ? ? ? ? ????

Is it any wonder that most Americans don't know whether we are winning or losing? Is it any wonder that a good many Americans are now absolutely convinced that we are losing the war?

Our Defense Department gives us a scrupulous count of American casualties. Because over 3,100 American soldiers have been killed in Iraq, and another 350-plus have been killed in Afghanistan, many Democrats in Congress, and many in the press insist American is "bogged down" in an "unwinnable Vietnam-style war."

Have we managed to kill any al-Qaida or Taliban fighters during the last five years? Have we maimed any? Or have all the bombs our planes have dropped and all the bullets our troops have fired missed their targets?

Because "body counts" tabulated during the Vietnam era were deemed misleading, our Defense Department does not publish body counts as to Taliban or al-Qaida fighters killed. Instead we are left to get our numbers from the leaders of al-Qaida.

In October of 2006, Abu Hamza al-Muhajer, the leader of al-Qaida in Iraq, shed at least a modicum light on the matter.

"We have shed much blood in Iraq: (We have lost) more than 4,000 volunteers from outside (the country), and a much greater number from among the supporters (of Islam within Iraq).

Presumably some Taliban and al-Qaida types have also suffered a similar fate in Afghanistan. But again, since the Department of Defense, doesn't publish numbers, hard numbers are hard to come by.

But there is one "scoreboard" on which we clearly are winning.

The on-line encyclopedia, Wikipedia ("Suicide Bombings in Iraq") gives the details of over 100 such bombings since the beginning of the war in 2003. The following are typical 2007 examples listed:

-- Feb. 25: A suicide bomber attacked a college campus in Baghdad killing 41 people, mostly students.

-- Feb. 26: A suicide bomber attacked a police station in Ramadi killing 14 people. A suicide bomber attacked a checkpoint near Kirkuk killing one Iraqi soldier.

-- Feb. 27: A suicide bomber attacked an Iraqi police station in Mosul killing 7 policemen and wounding 47 people, including 15 other policemen. A suicide bomber killed four people near Mosul.

A rough tally of the Wikipedia statistics shows the following "scoreboard:"

Deaths by Suicide Bombings 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

In Iraq 126 530 1195 1123 567

In the United States 0 0 0 0 0

The suicide bombing deaths in Iraq are the work of Muslims killing Muslims. Amercan soldiers are not using suicide bombs to kill either Shiites or Sunnis. The carnage is barbaric and deplorable. But if followers of Islam feel compelled to be suicide bombers, I would prefer they kill each other, rather than Americans in the United States.

Many in America see the gathering of the terrorists in Iraq and Afghanistan as clear proof the Iraq War was a mistake. They correctly point out that incoming terrorists seek to kill our soldiers every chance they get. No sane American wants to see any American soldier killed or wounded. But most rational Americans will agree that drawing the terrorists into Iraq and Afghanistan where our soldiers can deal with them, is preferable to putting our forces in Okinawa and waiting for another 9-11 to happen, and preferable to freeing up the terrorist to train in peace, and cross our porous borders to begin a campaign of suicide bombings here.

Is it possible that American strategy just might be to lure the terrorists into a "meat grinder" far from our own shores where our soldiers can kill them before they can kill Americans at home, or suicide bomb in our cities?

Has it ever occurred to anyone that each al-Qaida terrorist fighting our troops abroad, or killed in Iraq or Afghanistan is one less terrorist available to attack us here at home?

Has it ever occurred to anybody that al-Qaida, the Taliban and their allies are hopelessly bogged down in Afghanistan and Iraq?

Copyright 2007

John Donald O'Shea

Posted Online: Posted on Quad City on Line: March 8, 2007 2:34 PM
Print publication date: 03/09/2007, Moline Dispatch




Should Schools Drug Test?

"To Drug Test, or Not to Drug Test? That is the Question." -- "Hamlet," Shakespeare (more or less)

Few Americans who are not lawyers will ever read the full opinion of a case decided by the United States Supreme Court. The Rockridge school district is considering establishing a policy that would require some students to be tested for illegal drugs. A number citizens claim such a policy will violate the "privacy rights" of the students tested.

The leading case on the issue is the Supreme Court 2002 decision in Board of Education v. Earls, 536 U.S. 822. I intend to set forth a number of passages from the opinion. I believe that it is good for citizens to see for themselves the depth of reasoning our court is capable of bringing to an issue.

In 1998, the school district of Tecumseh, Okla., adopted a drug testing policy, which required all students to consent to drug testing prior to participating in any extracurricular activity. Additionally students were required to submit to random drug testing while participating in that activity, and to be further tested at any time upon reasonable suspicion.

Not surprisingly, two students sued the School District, challenging the policy. They alleged that the policy violated their Fourth Amendment rights, and sought to have it struck down as "unconstitutional." They also argued that the district failed to identify a "special need" for testing students who participate in extracurricular activities, and that the "Drug Testing Policy neither addressed a proven problem nor promised to bring any benefit to students or the school."

The Supreme Court, in Earls, disagreed and held that the School's Drug Policy was "reasonable" and constitutional. "Because this Policy reasonably serves the School District's important interest in detecting and preventing drug use among its students, we hold that it is constitutional."

The high court's reasoning to me appears unassailable. I reach that conclusion both as a lawyer and a parent. Whether a policy is reasonable is always a question of fact. Whether a course of action or a policy is reasonable always involves a balancing of the competing facts and interests.

"It is true that we generally determine the reasonableness of a search by balancing the nature of the intrusion on the individual's privacy against the promotion of legitimate governmental interests."

Two excerpts from the court's opinion clearly show the "facts" or "governmental interests" that concerned the court. First, the court stated "(D)rug abuse is one of the most serious problems confronting our society today." In factual support of that statement, the court further note

"(T)]he number of 12th graders using any illicit drug increased from 48.4 percent in 1995 to 53.9 percent in 2001. The number of 12th graders reporting they had used marijuana jumped from 41.7 percent to 49.0 percent during that same period."

The court, however, was entirely mindful of the fact that the Fourth Amendment's guarantees did in fact apply to children in school. "The Fourth Amendment to the United States Constitution protects `(t)he right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures.' Searches by public school officials such as the collection of urine samples, implicate Fourth Amendment interests."

But the court distinguished between the amendment's application in the "criminal context," and its application in the "school context."

"In the criminal context, reasonableness usually requires a showing of probable cause. The probable-cause standard, however, "is peculiarly related to criminal investigations" and may be unsuited to determining the reasonableness of administrative searches where the "Government seeks to prevent the development of hazardous conditions."

And the court explained the distinction.

"(I)n certain limited circumstances, the Government's need to discover such latent or hidden conditions, or to prevent their development, is sufficiently compelling to justify the intrusion on privacy entailed by conducting such searches without any measure of individualized suspicion."

The court then proceeded to analyze the privacy interest involved in the context of the school environment. "(T)he subjects of the Policy are (1) children, who (2) have been committed to the temporary custody of the State as schoolmaster."

The court then stated: "The most significant element in this case is .. that the Policy was undertaken in furtherance of the government's responsibilities, under a public school system, as guardian and tutor of children entrusted to its care."

It then elaborated "(W)hen the government acts as guardian and tutor the relevant question is whether the search is one that a reasonable guardian and tutor might undertake." Then the Court went to the heart of the issue.

"(T)he need to prevent and deter the substantial harm of childhood drug use provides the necessary immediacy for a school testing policy. Indeed, it would make little sense to require a school district to wait for a substantial portion of its students to begin using drugs before it was allowed to institute a drug testing program designed to deter drug use."

Some years ago, while I was still on the bench, I stopped to have lunch in downtown Rock Island. A widely respected attorney sat and visited. I told him I had just sent a probationer to prison after a number of unsuccessful attempts at drug treatment. I recall my friend telling me that once his clients became hooked on crack cocaine, "it became their God." I had by that time reached a similar conclusion. He put it more eloquently.

Three additional arguments are generally advanced in opposition to testing: (1) keeping kids drug free is a job for the parents; (2) there is a danger of a "false positives;" and (3) the expenditure of $35 per test is

a waste of funds that could better be utilized elsewhere.

Some years ago, when Alleman was about to begin its program of drug testing, I asked one of the dads what he thought. He replied, "It's a tool that's not available to me. I'd rather know sooner rather than later." I find that logic compelling. When kids spend more waking hours at school than at home, the argument that "it's a job solely for the parents" is less than convincing.

The argument about "false positives" is also unpersuasive. My sources tell me that "false positives" from hair samples are virtually nonexistent. Dave Van Landegen, the head of Rock Island County probation, advises that his office, which has used "preliminary" urine drops for years, solves that problem by immediately having more sophisticated testing done whenever the person dropping contends that the "preliminary test" is faulty.

Nor does the $35 cost argument wash. If the cost per test is indeed $35, then 100 tests cost $3,500. If just one child becomes drug addicted, the cost to send him for in-patient substance abuse treatment is $515 per day at a facility in Rockford. When it is understood that the average stay is 30 days, the cost of treating just one child is in excess of $15,000. When a delinquent child with a drug addiction is sent to St. Charles, taxpayers pay $153 per day.

From my point of view, that of a parent and a lawyer, it makes sense to test. My dad once told me, "If you never start smoking, you'll never have to quit." If just one child doesn't start using drugs, the school renders a great service to that family. In this balancing of "the right of privacy," versus "the health of a child," I would opt for the latter.

Copyright, 2007
John Donald O'Shea

Originally printed in the Moline Dispatch, February 11, 2007