Thursday, May 21, 2020

Column: When out on a limb, be careful where to cut

What would you call a man who climbs high up into an oak tree, crawls out to the end of a long branch 35 feet above the ground, and proceeds to cut through the branch which really needs to be cut off — between himself and the trunk?

Do you see a problem? A possible "unintended consequence?"

What do you call a man so intent on fixing an immediate problem that he never considers a significant "unintended consequence?"

In Congress, we call these people Democrats.

Do you think, my characterization is unfair? Let me give you just two conclusive examples that Democrats rush in to fix dire problems while giving no consideration to equally or more dire consequences.


Remember Senator Harry Reid? He was the Democratic majority leader in the U.S. Senate. The Republicans, for partisan political purposes, were blocking President Obama's judicial nominations. So Reid got a brilliant idea. Get rid of the Senate rule requiring a super-majority of 60 votes before a nomination could be considered.

Harry Reid fashioned a rule that allowed for consideration of judicial nominations upon a simple majority vote (51). Obama got his district and appellate judges. But what was the unintended consequence?

President Trump and the Republican Senate have now used "Harry's Rule" to put Justices Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh on the Supreme Court. In addition, the Republicans have now placed 51 new appellate judges on the bench (51 of 179). The once liberal 9th Circuit Court of Appeals is changing. Ten of the 29 judges on that bench are now Trump's appointees (with a lot of help from Mitch McConnell, the Republican Senate Majority Leader).


Which brings us to the second example.


In an all-out effort to keep Kavanaugh off the Supreme Court, the Democrats trotted out a number of women who accused the judge of sexual misconduct. Only one accusation against the judge had even a scent of credibility.

Democrats immediately "climbed the oak," crawled to limb's end and began sawing.

"The woman must be believed."

"The man cannot deny his way out of the accusation."

"A woman would never falsely claim she was sexually assaulted."

"The accused is presumed guilty."

"The man must prove his innocence!"

The tactic wasn't new. It had first been employed when Judge Clarence Thomas was nominated to the Supreme Court. But Republicans, slow on the uptake, made no use of any similar tactic when Judges Elena Kagan and Sonia Sotomayor were nominated by Obama to the Supreme Court.

But then when Kavanaugh was appointed by Trump, Democrats reverted to their playbook.

"A woman would never lie about being sexually assaulted."

"The denial of a man accused of sexual assault can't be believed."

Really?


The notion that a man must be presumed guilty because a woman has made an accusation is worse than stupid. It is unconstitutional and un-American. The Supreme Court long ago held that the presumption of innocence is a fundamental feature of American due process. The same for requiring the accuser to prove his case beyond a reasonable doubt (or at least some proof)!

The Democrats who spouted these insipidities voiced them because they saw an opportunity to fix an immediate problem — keep a conservative off the Supreme Court.

Now, they have an unanticipated problem. Their presidential candidate, Joe Biden, has become the target of Tara Reade's sexual misconduct allegations.

Tara Reade is a woman. Must she be believed simply because she's a woman?

That was the Democrat's rule when Christine Blasey Ford accused Kavanaugh.

"No woman would ever lie about being sexually assaulted."

Is it still the rule?

Democrats said Kavanaugh's word wasn't sufficient to clear him. Is that still the rule in Biden's case?

Democrats said the "presumption of innocence" had no application when a man was seeking appointment to the nation's highest court. How about when he seeks election to the nation's highest office? Democrats said, "the defendant had the burden of proof" in a judicial confirmation hearing. How about in an election on the candidate's fitness to be president?

There is no double-standard when Republicans and Democrats simply disagree. But there is a lamentable double standard when Democrats apply one set of rules to Republican candidates and then repudiate their own rules when a Democrat becomes the target.

Democrats climbed the tree, crawled to branch-end and cut in order to sink a Republican nomination without thought of the long-term consequences.

Let's hope the Republicans don't adopt the Democrats' shameful double standard. Even an inveterate flip-flopper like Joe Biden deserves due process and to have his accuser prove his guilt.


This piece was published originally in the Moline Dispatch and Rock Island Argus on May 21, 2020

Copyright 2020, John Donald O'Shea

Friday, May 8, 2020

Biden is a modern-day McKinley


To win on the first ballot, a candidate for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination needs 1,991 delegates. As of earlier this week, Joe Biden has 1,435 delegates. Poor Bernie Sanders had only 984.

But candidate Biden has a problem, and it's not coronavirus. That's working to "Fairly Honest Joe's" advantage.

The problem is that Joe Biden is a walking gaffe machine. He didn't know Super-Tuesday from Super-Thursday. He doesn't know what state he's in. He's in favor of banning "AR-14s." He introduces his wife as his sister. Worse than that, he has snapped at voters, telling them they are "dog-faced pony soldiers", and "full of sh ..."

To protect Biden, the swamp-dwellers who run the Democratic Party have now convinced Sanders to take a hike. Commit political seppuku! But why?

It's simple. They can't afford to have candidate Biden "lose it" in a nationally televised debate. They were entirely aware that Sanders had the ability to run a verbal shiv deep between "Fairly Honest Joe's" ribs.

U.S. House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn, D-South Carolina, a key Biden supporter, has led the movement. In March, ahead of a half dozen primary contests, he said, "... if the night ends the way it has begun, I think it is time for us to shut this primary down, it is time for us to cancel the rest of these debates, because you don’t do anything but get yourself in trouble if you continue in this contest when it’s obvious that the numbers will not shake out for you."

Mr. Clyburn's message: Old Joe, you're only "going to get yourself in trouble."


Party strategist and former Clinton operative James Carville echoed Clyburn: "These voters want to shut this thing down ... I mean, you can just look all across the spectrum of the Democratic Party and people are saying, 'We've made our decision, this is who we're going with.' ... Let's shut this puppy down ... and worry about November. This thing is decided. There's no reason to keep it going not even a day longer. ... We've got to bring this party together; we've got to stop this. ...."


But there's a problem with this strategy. Are you also going to cancel the presidential debates with President Trump for fear of a Biden gaffe? If you were worried about Bernie administering the coup de grâce to old Joe, what's going to happen when Biden comes under Trump's cruise missile barrage?

Between now and the November election, will Joe's handlers continue to limit "old Joe" to seven-minute reads from teleprompters? Or is he going to be locked away in a safe house — or his basement — while his surrogates do his stump-speaking for him?

Impossible you say? If you haven't haven't heard it on CNN and MSNBC, "Fairly Honest Joe" has now been accused of sexual assault by Tara Reade, a former staffer in Biden's Senate office. And what are his surrogates doing? Take a guess.


Of course, there is the 1896 precedent for a candidate hunkering down at home and making all his sanitized speeches from his "front porch", tailored to the true-believers coming to worship at his shrine. Margaret Leech in her book, "In the Days of McKinley", tells how the Republican Party arranged for railroad excursions at reduced rates to Canton, Ohio, so the McKinley true-believers could travel to hear their beloved candidate's brief, scripted speeches.

"President William McKinley's conception of his candidacy was so passive that he at first gave the impression of intending to make no campaign at all. He had decided to stay at home and address only the people who cared to visit him there. Before his nomination, he had made only two speaking engagements, both nonpolitical. Except for three days absence to keep these appointments and one weekend of rest in August, McKinley remained in Canton from the date of his nomination until the election, available at all hours to the public on every day but Sunday.

"McKinley was no match for his younger opponent [William Jennings Bryan] in dramatic presence and oratorical power, and he refused ... to enter the competition. .... The idea of a 'front-porch campaign' seems to have been the natural outgrowth [of McKinley's preference] of ... desiring election without the need to seek it."

"In his campaign speeches [from his front porch], McKinley made no mistakes. He could ill have afforded to do so. A careless word or misplaced allusion would not only have alienated the prideful delegation on his lawn, but would have been spread before the newspaper readers of the country. Though McKinley's addresses seemed unstudied and spontaneous, they had been carefully prepared for him ... with material on background for each group. ..."

So there seems to be a precedent, the model, for the Democrats' campaign plan: Stuff a sock in "old Joe's" mouth.



John Donald O'Shea is a retired circuit court judge and a regular columnist.

This piece was published originally in the Moline Dispatch and Rock Island Argus on May 8, 2020

Copyright 2020, John Donald O'Shea